
At this point, it’s common knowledge that Elon Musk maintains an excessively optimistic outlook when making forecasts.
To be frank, Musk can be seen as a “bullshit artist.” He tends to make commitments he fails to uphold. For example, many recall his notorious interview in 2011 with the Wall Street Journal, in which he asserted he would land a man on Mars within a decade. That was 14 years ago, and we are still far from sending anyone to Mars. Additionally, Musk once touted his envisioned Hyperloop train system as a speedy method for transporting individuals between cities; that idea never came to fruition and likely served as a strategy to impede other transit initiatives.
As 2025 is almost behind us, Mashable chose to take another look at his forecasts for this year. Time has elapsed. What did Musk vow for this year that failed to materialize?
Humans on Mars by 2025
Indeed, I referenced that 2011 Wall Street Journal interview where Musk guaranteed he would send a man to Mars within a decade. Nevertheless, this is a distinctly different promise Musk made regarding humans on Mars.
In 2016 — about four years post his 10-year WSJ declaration — Musk participated in Recode’s Code 2016 conference. During a discussion with Kara Swisher and Walt Mossberg, Musk revised his earlier prediction about Mars, pushing the timeline for human arrival to the red planet to 2021. He stated that SpaceX would begin launching rockets to Mars in 2018, followed by a new mission every 26 months, and then they would begin sending people.
“If everything goes as planned, we should be ready to send people probably in 2024 with an arrival in 2025,” Musk stated, indicating that colonists would reach the planet.
Not true — 2025 has come and gone, and we’re still not on Mars.
Tesla robotaxis would serve half of the U.S. population
Step outside. How many Tesla robotaxis do you observe?