Securing a preorder for the Nintendo Switch 2 has become quite the undertaking, and that heightened interest is generating significant anticipation for its release. In its most recent earnings report, Nintendo is predicting an enormous inaugural year for the eagerly awaited console.

As per a sales projection shared on Thursday, Nintendo anticipates selling 15 million Switch 2 units by the conclusion of March 2026, according to CNBC. Although that date may seem random, it coincides with the conclusion of Nintendo’s fiscal year, which wraps up in March.

To contextualize that figure, selling 15 million consoles within the first year would represent one of the most successful launches in gaming history. As noted by Polygon, the original Nintendo Switch moved 14.8 million units in a similar timeframe, while the PlayStation 5 — which contended with pandemic-induced supply chain challenges — reached 13.4 million.

Curiously, some experts in the industry speculate that Nintendo’s estimate might indeed be on the cautious side. Analyst Daniel Ahmad from Niko Partners proposed that the company could surpass its projections, particularly due to the Switch 2’s robust hardware and an appealing array of launch titles.

Nevertheless, global economic volatility could influence the console’s success. U.S. preorders for the Switch 2 encountered delays because of tariffs linked to former President Donald Trump’s trade policies. While the console’s $450 price remains intact for the time being, recent price hikes from competitors like Xbox underscore how inflation and economic uncertainties are affecting the gaming sector.

Considering all these elements, Nintendo might be underplaying the Switch 2’s capabilities — or, alternatively, economic factors could suppress consumer spending. Regardless, the coming months will be pivotal in ascertaining the magnitude of the Switch 2 launch.